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Revisiting ECOWAS-Eurozone exports in the light of asymmetry
作者: Mati, Sagiru; Ismael, Goran Yousif; Masoud, Serag; Hamad, Karzan Qader; Mohammed, Abdullahi Ahmed; Hussaini, Mustapha
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This article evaluates the asymmetric impact of exchange rate volatility on the exports of nine ECOWAS countries to the Eurozone. By comparing Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) models, the study concludes that the effect of volatility on ECOWAS-Eurozone exports (EEE) is asymmetric. The study also investigates the impact of foreign income and prices on the EEE and categorises the goods and services that make up the EEE for each country based on their coefficients. The results show that exchange rate volatility has an asymmetric effect on the EEE, which comprise both substitute and inferior goods. The study recommends that ECOWAS authorities avoid using proportional policies to address increased and decreased volatility, as their impact on trade is asymmetric. The long-run coefficients of income for Nigeria, Togo, and Benin are -1.29, -4.67, and -2.64 respectively, indicating that their exports are dominated by inferior goods. The long-run coefficients of foreign price for Nigeria, Niger, and Burkina Faso are 5.32, 7.87, and 1.91 respectively, suggesting that their exports are mainly substitute goods. The authors confirm long-run asymmetry for three out of nine countries and short-run asymmetry for five countries. Only three countries have an asymmetric trade-volatility relationship in both the short and long run. The study suggests that Nigeria, Togo, and Benin diversify their economies, as their exports to the Eurozone are dominated by inferior goods and services. Additionally, the study recommends that the governments of Nigeria, Niger, and Burkina Faso provide support, as their goods and services are substitutes.

关 键 词: Asymmetric relationship; ECOWAS; eurozone; exchange rate volatility; IGARCH; NARDL; Elliott Caroline PhD, Editor-in-Chief, University of Warwick Faculty of Social Sciences, Professor of Economics, Economics, UNITED KINGDOM, Coventry; African Studies; Internationa
论文来源: COGENT ECONOMICS & FINANCE.2024,12(1)
语种: 英文
所属领域: 信息技术服务外包
入库时间: 2024-03-11
浏览次数: 1